The uncertainties of the growth of exports from Italian territories

Especially in the North-West, in Q3-2019 there was a sharp drop in the share of territories in the expansion phase.


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The share of growing territories in the third quarter 2019
fell to just 50%, from 73% at the end of 2018.

Recent data on Italian Exports by territories for the third quarter of 2019 confirm signs of a weakening of the economic situation: in the most recent quarter, only one province out of two recorded an increase in exports, compared to 59% in the previous quarter and, above all, 73% at the end of 2018.

Italian Exports: share provinces with upward export trend
Italian Territories Q4-2018 Q1-2019 Q2-2019 Q3-2019
North-Western 85% 56% 32% 24%
North-Eastern 86% 68% 59% 73%
Central 68% 64% 68% 55%
Southern 61% 53% 53% 50%
Total 73% 59% 52% 50%
Source: ExportPlanning - Exportpedia

The North-West territories were particularly affected
by the slowdown in exports...

Export data available in Exportpedia1 for the third quarter of 2019 show a further deterioration in the performance of the North-West Italian territories, with a share of just 24% of provinces growing in export trends (this share had already fallen sharply in the previous quarters, from 85% at the end of 2018).

.. which conditioned also the performances
of Central-Southern territories...

The share of provinces in Central Italy in growth in exported values, although still majority (55%), is significantly lower than in the previous quarter.
In South Italy, the share of territories in growth in exported values (50%) also appears to have worsened - albeit slightly - compared to three months before, well below the levels at the end of 2018.

.. while the high "resilience" of the territories
in the North-East was much confirmed.

In a context of general deterioration, the most recent quarter highlighted the performance against the trend of exports of the North-Eastean territories, with a growing share (73%) of provinces advancing in export trends, confirming - once again - the area of the country with the greatest spread of territories increasing in export dynamics.

Exports from Italian provinces: Year-over-Year Percentage Change in Q3-2019

Exports from the Italian provinces: Y-o-Y % changes for the 3rd quarter of 2019
Source: ExportPlanning - Exportpedia
ATTENTION: variations related to the provinces of Sardinia are not considered, since from Q1-2018 a new regional structure was established by the Regional Law n. 2/2016.

1) In order to take a dynamic view of the ongoing deterioration in exports of Italian territories, see the video animation in the bar at the bottom of the Exportpedia home page.