October 2020 IMF Scenario: the Long Road to Recovery

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Oct. 20, 2020 .

Covid-19 Great Recession Europe Great Lockdown Emerging markets United States of America Uncertainty Italy Global economic trends

The latest World Economic Outlook forecasts shed a ray of hope on 2020, compared to previous estimates; however, all major economies remain in negative territory, with China as a relevant exception [ Read all ]

Focus on EM Currencies: Fiscal Uncertainty Weighs on the Real

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Oct. 16, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Emerging markets Latin America Brazilian real Uncertainty Exchange rate risk Economic policy Central banks Exchange rates

The Brazilian currency reflects markets' worries over the state of health of public finances, with regard to a new social welfare program [ Read all ]

Change of Course in Turkey?

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Sept. 25, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Emerging markets Turkish lira Exchange rate risk Economic policy Central banks Exchange rates

After 2 years, monetary policy is back on the scene to confront the threat of a new currency crisis [ Read all ]

Foreign Direct Investment: Global Dynamics in 2019

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Sept. 16, 2020 .

Covid-19 Great Lockdown Emerging markets United States of America Foreign markets Uncertainty Global economic trends

UNCTAD data show a slight rebound in global FDI flows in 2019, but the Covid crisis could lead in 2020 to a greater collapse than that one recorded in the aftermath of the 2009 crisis [ Read all ]

Belarusian Unrest and its Impact on the Currency

Published by Alba Di Rosa. Aug. 28, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Europe Emerging markets Uncertainty Central banks Exchange rates

The outcome of August 9 presidential elections has triggered historical street protests [ Read all ]

A weakening consensus to the Thai regime

Published by Luigi Bidoia. Aug. 21, 2020 .

Emerging markets Exchange rates

The prospect of a violent response to youth protests in Thailand weighs on the baht. [ Read all ]

Turkish Lira: a Cloudy Outlook

Published by Alba Di Rosa. July 31, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Emerging markets Trade balance Turkish lira Exchange rate risk Economic policy Central banks Exchange rates

The country's monetary policy strategy is beginning to show its limits, with the threat of a new currency crisis [ Read all ]

Secondary Sanctions: a disguised restriction on Market Accessibility

Published by Valeria Minasi. July 15, 2020 .

MENA Planning Internationalisation Emerging markets Export Market Accessibility

Secondary Sanctions: a disguised restriction on Market Accessibility - The case of Iran [ Read all ]

Indian rupee: an Update

Published by Alba Di Rosa. July 10, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Asia Emerging markets Exchange rate risk Central banks IMF Exchange rates

Historical current account surplus and investors' comeback might be guiding the currency into a phase of recovery [ Read all ]

Covid Crisis and Philippine Peso

Published by Alba Di Rosa. June 26, 2020 .

Covid-19 Exchange rate Emerging markets Trade balance Uncertainty Exchange rate risk Economic policy Central banks South-east Asia Exchange rates

The Philippine peso is one of the few currencies that showed an appreciation greater than 1% against the dollar in the first half of 2020 [ Read all ]